What are the current odds for "Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 70.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $62.2K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 70.5% or No shares at 29.5%. The market has $28.7K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

Updated Today

Cuba's political leadership faces mounting pressure from economic crisis and international isolation under Miguel Díaz-Canel's rule. Markets give a 69% probability that Díaz-Canel will no longer lead Cuba by year-end 2026, pricing in potential succession or institutional change.

Current Probability

70.5%-0.04%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.42 return per $1

If No wins

$3.39 return per $1