What are the current odds for "Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 50.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $363.0K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 50.5% or No shares at 49.5%. The market has $31.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Updated Today

Cuba's political leadership remains in flux as Miguel Díaz-Canel faces mounting pressure from both internal dissent and economic crisis. Prediction markets give roughly even odds—50%—that he'll be out as leader by mid-2026, reflecting genuine uncertainty about succession timing.

Current Probability

50.5%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.98 return per $1

If No wins

$2.02 return per $1