What are the current odds for "Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 7.2% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $219.6K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 7.2% or No shares at 92.8%. The market has $27.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?

Updated Today

Markets assign only a 9% probability that Miguel Díaz-Canel exits Cuba's leadership by March 31, 2026, suggesting traders see him as entrenched. The outcome would require either political upheaval or institutional change unlikely in such a centralized system.

Current Probability

7.2%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$13.89 return per $1

If No wins

$1.08 return per $1