What are the current odds for "Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 20.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $55.5K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 20.0% or No shares at 80.0%. The market has $7.2K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

Updated Today

Syria's political stability remains fragile following recent leadership changes. Markets currently give al-Sharaa just a 16% chance of losing power before 2027, reflecting modest confidence in his near-term grip on leadership despite underlying regional tensions.

Current Probability

20.0%-0.03%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$5.00 return per $1

If No wins

$1.25 return per $1