What are the current odds for "Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?"?

As of April 2026, prediction markets give this a 10.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $187 in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 10.5% or No shares at 89.5%. The market has $8.9K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Sep 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?

Updated Today

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? is currently trading at 10.5% on Polymarket, with $187 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

10.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$9.52 return per $1

If No wins

$1.12 return per $1

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Price History

Market Stats

Open Interest$8.9K

24h Volume$65

Total Volume$187

Liquidity$8.9K

Ends5 months

End DateSep 30, 2026

Price Changes

1 hour+0.01%

24 hours+0.01%

Trade Now

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