What are the current odds for "Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?"?

As of April 2026, prediction markets give this a 12.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $1.1K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 12.0% or No shares at 88.0%. The market has $9.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?

Updated Today

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? is currently trading at 12.0% on Polymarket, with $1,055 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

12.0%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$8.33 return per $1

If No wins

$1.14 return per $1

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Price History

Market Stats

Open Interest$9.6K

24h Volume$120

Total Volume$1.1K

Liquidity$9.6K

Ends9 months

End DateDec 31, 2026

Price Changes

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