What are the current odds for "Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 2.1% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $424.6K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 2.1% or No shares at 97.9%. The market has $14.3K in liquidity.

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Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?

Updated Today

The Oslo Embassy attack represents a significant diplomatic incident with unclear attribution. Markets assign just a 9% probability that the US formally accuses Iran, suggesting skepticism about either Iranian involvement or Washington's willingness to make such an accusation publicly.

Current Probability

2.1%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$46.51 return per $1

If No wins

$1.02 return per $1