What are the current odds for "Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?"?

As of April 2026, prediction markets give this a 3.6% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $124.5K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 3.6% or No shares at 96.4%. The market has $115.4K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 months (May 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?

Updated Today

Reza Pahlavi, the exiled son of Iran's last shah, has long been a symbolic figure for opposition to the Islamic Republic. Markets currently give him just a 4% chance of physically entering Iran by May 31, 2026—a move that would signal extraordinary political upheaval or a dramatic shift in the regime's tolerance for dissent.

Current Probability

3.6%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$27.40 return per $1

If No wins

$1.04 return per $1