What are the current odds for "Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 26.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $358.1K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 26.0% or No shares at 74.0%. The market has $52.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

127,438

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,743,762,588

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$569,778,479

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$3,311,807,005

Polymarket$2.93BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$355.93MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$23.83MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

127,438

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,743,762,588

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$569,778,479

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$3,311,807,005

Polymarket$2.93BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$355.93MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$23.83MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Polymarketother

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Updated Today

Reza Pahlavi, the exiled heir to Iran's pre-1979 throne, has long symbolized monarchist opposition to the Islamic Republic. Markets currently give him an 8% chance of returning to Iranian soil by year-end 2026, reflecting the extremely low likelihood of regime collapse or political upheaval that would enable his return.

Current Probability

26.0%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$3.85 return per $1

If No wins

$1.35 return per $1