What are the current odds for "Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 15.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $1.68M in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 15.5% or No shares at 84.5%. The market has $100.7K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

127,377

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,730,792,477

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$561,247,558

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$3,243,297,991

Polymarket$2.87BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$354.88MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$23.03MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

127,377

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,730,792,477

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$561,247,558

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$3,243,297,991

Polymarket$2.87BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$354.88MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$23.03MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Polymarketother

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Updated Today

Reza Pahlavi, the exiled Iranian crown prince, represents a symbolic rallying point for opposition to Iran's government, with prediction markets giving him just a 14% chance of entering the country by June 30. Any return would signal major political upheaval or regime change in Tehran.

Current Probability

15.5%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$6.45 return per $1

If No wins

$1.18 return per $1