What are the current odds for "Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 15.8% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $714.4K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 15.8% or No shares at 84.3%. The market has $87.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

127,500

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,747,904,092

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$570,610,853

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$3,344,264,634

Polymarket$2.96BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$356.00MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$23.89MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

127,500

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,747,904,092

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$570,610,853

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$3,344,264,634

Polymarket$2.96BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$356.00MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$23.89MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Polymarketother

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Updated Today

Reza Pahlavi, the exiled heir to Iran's Pahlavi dynasty, remains a symbolic figure for regime-change advocates globally. Markets give him just a 16% chance of leading Iran by end of 2026, reflecting the incumbent government's entrenched control.

Current Probability

15.8%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$6.35 return per $1

If No wins

$1.19 return per $1