
Updated Today
In a significant geopolitical indicator, markets currently give just a 21% chance the US formally recognizes Iranian opposition leader Reza Pahlavi as Iran's legitimate leader during 2026. Recognition would represent a major diplomatic shift with far-reaching implications for US-Iran relations.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$5.13 return per $1
If No wins
$1.24 return per $1
Price Changes
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