What are the current odds for "US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 3.2% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $136.9K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 3.2% or No shares at 96.8%. The market has $14.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 6 days (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?

Updated Today

Markets assign just 11% odds to a US military support announcement for Iranian opposition groups by March 31, 2026. Such a move would represent a dramatic escalation in regional tensions and US involvement in Iranian domestic politics.

Current Probability

3.2%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$31.25 return per $1

If No wins

$1.03 return per $1