What are the current odds for "Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 51.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $199.3K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 51.0% or No shares at 49.0%. The market has $15.8K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Updated Today

Cuban politics faces genuine uncertainty over whether Miguel Díaz-Canel will remain president through June 30, 2026, with markets split nearly evenly at 53% odds for his ouster. Internal pressure, health concerns, or regime instability could accelerate a transition sooner than many observers expect.

Current Probability

51.0%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.96 return per $1

If No wins

$2.04 return per $1