What are the current odds for "Will Trump say 'Ayatollah' or 'Khamenei' this week? (March 15)"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 5.3% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $324.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Trump say 'Ayatollah' or 'Khamenei' this week? (March 15)"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 5.3% or No shares at 94.7%. The market has $16.4K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve Ended (Mar 15, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

122,755

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,605,373,058

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$481,311,792

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$2,735,360,079

Polymarket$2.36BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$352.10MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$18.72MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

122,755

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,605,373,058

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$481,311,792

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$2,735,360,079

Polymarket$2.36BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$352.10MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$18.72MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Polymarketpolitics

Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)

Updated Today

Trump's rhetoric toward Iran will be closely watched during the week of March 15, 2026, with traders betting on whether he'll invoke specific terminology. Markets currently give just an 11% chance he mentions either 'Ayatollah' or 'Khamenei,' suggesting he may avoid direct references to Iran's leadership.

Current Probability

5.3%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$18.87 return per $1

If No wins

$1.06 return per $1