Updated Today
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026? is currently trading at 45.0% on Polymarket, with $2,529 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$2.22 return per $1
If No wins
$1.82 return per $1
Price Changes
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PM·$895.9K volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
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PM·$5.56M volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
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PM·$9.37M volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
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PM·$1.63M volTrump out as President before 2027?
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PM·$115.1K vol
KalshiTrump Tariff Action April 2026
Outcome: Yes
KalshiTrump Fed Chair Nominee Confirmed by May 1
Outcome: Before May 1, 2026
KalshiTrump Fed Chair Pick Confirmed by Jun 1 2026
Outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026
KalshiTrump Fed Chair Pick Confirmed by Aug 1 2026
Outcome: Before Aug 1, 2026
KalshiTrump Fed Chair Pick Confirmed by Jul 1 2026
Outcome: Before Jul 1, 2026
KalshiWill Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Nov 7, 2028?
Outcome: Before Election Day
