
Updated Today
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April? is currently trading at 26.0% on Polymarket, with $1,316 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$3.85 return per $1
If No wins
$1.35 return per $1
Price Changes
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Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less than 4 on April 12, 2026?
Outcome: <4
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Outcome: <20
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Outcome: 60+