What are the current odds for "Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?"?

As of April 2026, prediction markets give this a 3.2% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $0 in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 3.2% or No shares at 96.8%. The market has $9.5K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?

Updated Today

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? is currently trading at 3.2% on Polymarket. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

3.2%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$31.25 return per $1

If No wins

$1.03 return per $1

Related Markets

US-Iran Nuclear Deal by June 2026

27.0%

$940.8K vol

-0.01% 24h

Iran Nuclear Test Before 2027

12.5%

$143.5K vol

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?

11.5%

$24.4K vol

-0.03% 24h

Price History

Market Stats

Open Interest$9.5K

24h Volume$0

Total Volume$0

Liquidity$9.5K

Ends3 months

End DateJun 30, 2026

Price Changes

Trade Now

More Trending Markets

Netanyahu out by March 31?

0.1%·

PM·$99.41M vol

Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

0.1%·

PM·$19.10M vol

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?

100.0%·

PM·$12.12M vol

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

0.6%·

PM·$49.63M vol

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?

100.0%·

PM·$5.82M vol

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

100.0%·

PM·$23.08M vol

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A

Spurs vs. Clippers

76ers vs. Heat

Lakers vs. Heat

Clippers vs. Pelicans

76ers vs. Hornets