What are the current odds for "Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 12.6% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $53.1K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 12.6% or No shares at 87.5%. The market has $2.4K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

Updated 1 month ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Currently 12.6% on Polymarket, with $53,063 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

12.6%+0.04%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$7.97 return per $1

If No wins

$1.14 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.

An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.