What are the current odds for "Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 62.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $50.6K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 62.0% or No shares at 38.0%. The market has $2.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

Updated 1 month ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Currently 62.0% on Polymarket, with $50,627 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

62.0%-0.09%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.61 return per $1

If No wins

$2.63 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.

An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.