What are the current odds for "Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?"?

As of April 2026, prediction markets give this a 9.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $146 in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 9.0% or No shares at 91.0%. The market has $7.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Sep 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?

Updated Today

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? is currently trading at 9.0% on Polymarket, with $146 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

9.0%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$11.11 return per $1

If No wins

$1.10 return per $1

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Price History

Market Stats

Open Interest$7.3K

24h Volume$86

Total Volume$146

Liquidity$7.3K

Ends5 months

End DateSep 30, 2026

Price Changes

24 hours-0.01%

Trade Now

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