What are the current odds for "Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 0.1% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $307.3K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 0.1% or No shares at 100.0%. The market has $100.2K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?

Updated Today

With Russia's invasion of Ukraine entering its fifth year by early 2026, markets assess virtually zero probability Moscow captures all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, suggesting either continued Ukrainian resistance or forecasters' belief the conflict remains stalemated.

Current Probability

0.1%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$2000.00 return per $1

If No wins

$1.00 return per $1