What are the current odds for "Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 0.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $159.9K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 0.5% or No shares at 99.5%. The market has $6.8K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve Ended (Jan 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?

Updated Today

Russia's territorial ambitions in Ukraine remain a critical geopolitical flashpoint heading into 2026. Markets give Prymorske's complete Russian capture by March 31 just a 3% chance, reflecting expectations that Ukrainian resistance and international support will prevent total encirclement in this southeastern region.

Current Probability

0.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$200.00 return per $1

If No wins

$1.01 return per $1