What are the current odds for "Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 3.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $166.6K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 3.0% or No shares at 97.0%. The market has $79.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 months (Apr 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?

Updated Today

Reza Pahlavi, the exiled Iranian crown prince, faces only a 6% chance of entering Iran by April 30, 2026 according to prediction markets. This reflects the significant geopolitical barriers and security risks surrounding any potential return by the opposition figure.

Current Probability

3.0%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$32.79 return per $1

If No wins

$1.03 return per $1