What are the current odds for "Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 4.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $893.1K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 4.0% or No shares at 96.0%. The market has $12.3K in liquidity.

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Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?

Updated Today

Tensions between Iran and Qatar remain a geopolitical flashpoint, with markets currently giving Qatar a direct strike only 11% chance by March 31. This reflects the region's complex diplomatic landscape, where escalation risks coexist with ongoing negotiations and mutual deterrence.

Current Probability

4.0%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$24.69 return per $1

If No wins

$1.04 return per $1