What are the current odds for "Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 3.3% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $95.6K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 3.3% or No shares at 96.8%. The market has $36.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Jan 1, 2027). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

Updated 51 min ago

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Currently trading at 3.3% on Polymarket, with $95,626 in total trading volume, resolving 5 months.

Current Probability

3.3%+0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$30.77 return per $1

If No wins

$1.03 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy incorporated is margin called on any of its Bitcoin-backed loans by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resulting in either a forced liquidation of Bitcoin by a lender or MicroStrategy posting additional collateral or making a loan repayment in response to the margin call. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A margin call is defined as a lender formally requiring MicroStrategy to either provide additional collateral or repay part of a loan due to the value of Bitcoin collateral falling below the required loan-to-value (LTV) ratio. Voluntary Bitcoin sales by MicroStrategy that are not explicitly in response to a margin call will not count.

The primary resolution sources will be SEC filings, official MicroStrategy statements, and a consensus of credible financial reporting.

Price History