What are the current odds for "Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 55.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $6.0K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 55.5% or No shares at 44.5%. The market has $513 in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Nov 3, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

Updated 3 months ago

Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. Currently 55.5% on Polymarket, with $6,000 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

55.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.80 return per $1

If No wins

$2.25 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).

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Listed on Polymarket Mar 2, 2026 · Resolves Nov 3, 2026