What are the current odds for "Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 27.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $15.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 27.0% or No shares at 73.0%. The market has $8.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?

Updated Today

Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? is currently trading at 27.0% on Polymarket, with $15,679 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

27.0%-0.02%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$3.70 return per $1

If No wins

$1.37 return per $1