What are the current odds for "Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 26.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $175.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 26.5% or No shares at 73.5%. The market has $5.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve Ended (Jan 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?

Updated Today

Following Syria's recent geopolitical shifts, markets give just a 26% chance that Israel and Syria will reach a formal security agreement by June 30, 2026. Such a deal would represent a historic breakthrough in Middle Eastern diplomacy, though decades of regional tensions and competing interests make near-term progress unlikely.

Current Probability

26.5%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$3.77 return per $1

If No wins

$1.36 return per $1