What are the current odds for "Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 2.3% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $147.0K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 2.3% or No shares at 97.8%. The market has $5.5K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve Ended (Jan 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?

Updated Today

The prospect of Israel and Syria negotiating a formal security agreement by March 31, 2026 appears remote given decades of regional tensions. Markets currently assign just a 5% probability to such a deal, reflecting the deep-rooted hostilities and geopolitical complexity involved.

Current Probability

2.3%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$44.44 return per $1

If No wins

$1.02 return per $1