What are the current odds for "Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 7.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $291.1K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 7.5% or No shares at 92.5%. The market has $34.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve Ended (Dec 31, 2025). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Updated Today

Normalization between Israel and Syria would mark a historic shift in Middle Eastern geopolitics, but prediction markets currently give it just a 9% chance by mid-2026. The two countries have been adversaries for decades, with Syria hosting Iranian proxies and Israeli military presence in the Golan Heights complicating any diplomatic path.

Current Probability

7.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$13.33 return per $1

If No wins

$1.08 return per $1