What are the current odds for "Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 12.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $436.8K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 12.5% or No shares at 87.5%. The market has $5.5K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?

Updated Today

Following the initial ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas, markets currently give a Phase II deal by June 30 a 26% chance. A second phase would involve permanent ceasefire terms and large-scale hostage releases—talks have repeatedly stalled over fundamental disagreements on Israeli military withdrawal and Palestinian governance.

Current Probability

12.5%-0.03%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$8.00 return per $1

If No wins

$1.14 return per $1