What are the current odds for "Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 3.9% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $553.0K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 3.9% or No shares at 96.2%. The market has $13.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?

Updated Today

The Israel-Hamas conflict remains deadlocked despite ceasefire talks; a Phase II agreement by March 31 faces structural obstacles in negotiations. Markets give this outcome just 4% probability, reflecting deep skepticism about imminent diplomatic breakthroughs.

Current Probability

3.9%-0.03%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$25.97 return per $1

If No wins

$1.04 return per $1