What are the current odds for "Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 6.6% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $140.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 6.6% or No shares at 93.4%. The market has $5.5K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve Ended (Dec 31, 2025). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?

Updated Today

A ceasefire between Israel and Hamas could collapse before spring 2026, though markets currently give this scenario just an 11% chance. The agreement's stability depends on sustained international pressure, hostage negotiations, and both parties' commitment to terms—any major violation could trigger the cancellation clause.

Current Probability

6.6%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$15.15 return per $1

If No wins

$1.07 return per $1