What are the current odds for "Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 18.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $65.2K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 18.5% or No shares at 81.5%. The market has $4.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

Updated Today

With ceasefire negotiations ongoing in the Middle East, markets currently give a 27% chance that hostilities between Israel and Hamas resume by June 30, 2026. This reflects persistent uncertainty about whether any agreement would hold, given the conflict's decade-long patterns and underlying disputes.

Current Probability

18.5%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$5.41 return per $1

If No wins

$1.23 return per $1