What are the current odds for " Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 21.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $110.3K in total volume.

Where can I trade on " Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 21.0% or No shares at 79.0%. The market has $27.8K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Updated Today

Iran's nuclear program remains a critical geopolitical flashpoint, with markets currently giving only a 25% chance the country agrees to end uranium enrichment by June 30, 2026. This reflects deep skepticism about diplomatic breakthroughs on an issue tied to regional security and international sanctions.

Current Probability

21.0%-0.03%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$4.76 return per $1

If No wins

$1.27 return per $1