Updated Today
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026? is currently trading at 29.5% on Polymarket, with $9,155 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$3.39 return per $1
If No wins
$1.42 return per $1
Price Changes
Senators vs. Devils
PM·$1.22M volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
PM·$5.21M volSenators vs. Islanders
PM·$760.9K volTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?
PM·$1.17M volWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
PM·$32.46M volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
PM·$4.66M volHungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
PM·$419.4K volWill Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
PM·$571.6K volTrump out as President by April 30?
PM·$7.40M volWill Trump visit China by April 30?
PM·$10.49M volWill US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
PM·$2.84M volTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
PM·$302.8K vol
KalshiWill Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Nov 7, 2028?
Outcome: Before Election Day
KalshiWill Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2028?
Outcome: Before 2028
KalshiWill Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027?
Outcome: Before 2027
KalshiWill the United States Mint or the Department of the Treasury announce the official selection of a final design for a $1 coin featuring Donald Trump in 2026?
Outcome: In 2026
KalshiWill Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Nov 4, 2026?
Outcome: Before Nov 4, 2026
KalshiWill Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before May 1, 2026?
Outcome: Before May 1, 2026
