What are the current odds for "Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?"?

As of April 2026, prediction markets give this a 8.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $489 in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 8.5% or No shares at 91.5%. The market has $7.1K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 days (Apr 12, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarkettech

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?

Updated Today

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12? is currently trading at 8.5% on Polymarket, with $489 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

8.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$11.76 return per $1

If No wins

$1.09 return per $1

Related Markets

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

72.9%

$73.6K vol

-0.19% 24h

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

22.0%

$55.6K vol

-0.13% 24h

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

27.5%

$28.7K vol

-0.39% 24h

Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?

Outcome: 60+

52.5%

$26.8K vol

-0.33% 24h

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

39.5%

$22.9K vol

-0.41% 24h

Will 20-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?

Outcome: 20-29

1.9%

$9.8K vol

++0.00% 24h

Price History

Market Stats

Open Interest$7.1K

24h Volume$489

Total Volume$489

Liquidity$7.1K

Ends3 days

End DateApr 12, 2026

Price Changes

1 hour-0.02%

Trade Now

More Tech Markets

View all tech markets

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

100.0%·

PM·$1.22M vol

Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?

100.0%·

PM·$1.37M vol

Will Iran strike UAE again in March?

100.0%·

PM·$3.16M vol

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

22.5%·

PM·$5.28M vol

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?

100.0%·

PM·$562.2K vol

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

9.8%·

PM·$14.67M vol

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

3.7%·

PM·$3.61M vol

Spread: Rockets (-1.5)

100.0%·

PM·$305.3K vol

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)

76ers vs. Rockets

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

19.5%·

PM·$1.58M vol

Spread: Rockets (-2.5)

100.0%·

PM·$151.1K vol