What are the current odds for "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?"?

As of April 2026, prediction markets give this a 14.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $615.8K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 14.5% or No shares at 85.5%. The market has $131.8K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 months (May 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarkettech

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Updated Today

Markets give the US only a 17% chance of obtaining Iranian enriched uranium by May 31, 2026, reflecting geopolitical tensions and Iran's nuclear program. This outcome hinges on diplomacy, international pressure, or a major shift in bilateral relations.

Current Probability

14.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$6.90 return per $1

If No wins

$1.17 return per $1