What are the current odds for "Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 32.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $24.0K in total volume.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Q: Where can I trade on "Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 32.5% or No shares at 67.5%. The market has $11.8K in liquidity.

Updated Today

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? is currently trading at 32.5% on Polymarket, with $23,962 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

32.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$3.08 return per $1

If No wins

$1.48 return per $1