
Updated Today
Geopolitical tensions have disrupted one of the world's most critical shipping lanes, with markets giving just a 37% chance of normal Strait of Hormuz traffic by end of April. The region handles roughly 20% of global maritime trade, making any prolonged closure economically significant.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$3.70 return per $1
If No wins
$1.37 return per $1
Price Changes
Lakers vs. Rockets
Trail Blazers vs. Nets
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?