What are the current odds for "U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 2.3% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $130.5K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 2.3% or No shares at 97.8%. The market has $18.7K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 6 days (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?

Updated Today

As regional instability continues in the Middle East, markets give only a 13% chance the U.S. evacuates its Beirut Embassy by March 31, 2026, reflecting low current expectations for rapid escalation despite ongoing geopolitical tensions in Lebanon.

Current Probability

2.3%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$44.44 return per $1

If No wins

$1.02 return per $1