Updated Today
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027? is currently trading at 23.0% on Polymarket. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$4.35 return per $1
If No wins
$1.30 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
PM·$19.10M volWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
PM·$12.12M volWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
PM·$5.82M volWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?
PM·$23.08M volLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
PM·$5.83M volSpurs vs. Clippers
PM·$4.94M volLakers vs. Heat
PM·$4.82M volClippers vs. Pelicans
PM·$4.72M volLoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
PM·$4.22M volUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
PM·$23.96M volWarriors vs. Celtics
PM·$3.52M volMagic vs. Hawks
PM·$3.48M vol
KalshiUS Iran Nuclear Deal by April 2026
Outcome: Before April
KalshiUS Iran Nuclear Deal 2027
Outcome: Before 2027
KalshiUS Iran Nuclear Deal by August 2026
Outcome: Before August
KalshiWill the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?
Outcome: Before May
KalshiWill the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?
Outcome: Before June
