What are the current odds for "U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with 'Pakistan' before 2027?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 16.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $66.1K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with 'Pakistan' before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 16.5% or No shares at 83.5%. The market has $8.1K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

Updated Today

A new U.S.-Pakistan trade deal by year-end 2026 faces headwinds, with markets pricing it at just 18% probability despite both nations' historical trade relationships. Geopolitical tensions and domestic political dynamics in both countries complicate negotiations.

Current Probability

16.5%-0.03%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$6.06 return per $1

If No wins

$1.20 return per $1