What are the current odds for "SBF released from custody in 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 10.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $300.4K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "SBF released from custody in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 10.5% or No shares at 89.5%. The market has $39.5K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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SBF released from custody in 2026?

Updated Today

Sam Bankman-Fried faces serious federal charges following FTX's collapse, with his case drawing intense scrutiny from crypto investors and regulators. Markets currently give his release from custody in 2026 just a 13% chance, pricing in the severity of his legal situation.

Current Probability

10.5%+0.02%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$9.52 return per $1

If No wins

$1.12 return per $1