What are the current odds for "Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 15.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $193.1K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 15.0% or No shares at 85.0%. The market has $16.8K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve Ended (Jan 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

127,500

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,747,904,092

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$570,610,853

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$3,344,264,634

Polymarket$2.96BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$356.00MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$23.89MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

127,500

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,747,904,092

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$570,610,853

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$3,344,264,634

Polymarket$2.96BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$356.00MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$23.89MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Polymarketother

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Updated Today

Venezuelan opposition and international observers are watching Nicolás Maduro's legal status closely as political tensions persist. Markets currently give his release from custody by year-end 2026 only a 14% chance, reflecting skepticism about major shifts in his prosecution or extradition proceedings.

Current Probability

15.0%-0.02%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$6.67 return per $1

If No wins

$1.18 return per $1