What are the current odds for "Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?"?

As of April 2026, prediction markets give this a 100.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $929.4K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 100.0% or No shares at 0.0%. The market has $1.08M in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 2 weeks (Apr 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarkettech

Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?

Updated Today

This geopolitical prediction resolves with near-certainty that military action against Iran concludes by April 17, with 100% market probability—suggesting either no conflict materializes or any escalation remains contained before the cutoff date.

Current Probability

100.0%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.00 return per $1

If No wins

$2000.00 return per $1