
Updated Today
Iran's political landscape remains uncertain following international tensions and internal pressures on President Masoud Pezeshkian. Markets assign only a 14% probability he'll leave office by March 31, 2027, reflecting skepticism about near-term regime change despite ongoing geopolitical instability.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$19.61 return per $1
If No wins
$1.05 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
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US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
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