What are the current odds for "Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 42.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $108.4K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 42.5% or No shares at 57.5%. The market has $21.5K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Updated Today

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian faces a 46% chance of being out of office by December 31, 2026, reflecting genuine political uncertainty in Tehran. Internal factions and external pressures create realistic paths to his early removal or resignation.

Current Probability

42.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$2.35 return per $1

If No wins

$1.74 return per $1