What are the current odds for "Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 1.3% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $291.8K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 1.3% or No shares at 98.7%. The market has $13.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?

Updated Today

The Insurrection Act rarely invokes but represents an extreme constitutional measure that would signal severe national crisis or political breakdown. Markets currently give invocation by March 31, 2026 only a 3% chance, reflecting skepticism about such an extraordinary outcome.

Current Probability

1.3%-0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$76.92 return per $1

If No wins

$1.01 return per $1